The second city derby takes centre stage at midday on Sunday as Birmingham City and Aston Villa clash at St Andrews. The betting is tight for the match as the two rivals prepare to meet in the league for the first time since 2011 and it is the Blues who look decent value to get a positive result out of this Championship encounter…
- Birmingham are unbeaten in 5 home games – Won 4, Drawn 1
- Villa have won 1 away game in all competitions since 8th August 2015 – Drawn 7, Lost 23
- Villa have dropped 13 points from winning positions this season
|Sunday 30th October – 12.00pm||Odds||Won/Lost||Bet|
|Birmingham v Aston Villa|
| Birmingham win draw no bet
|@ 1 / 1||
|Between 45-65 bookings points||@ 5 / 2||
|Birmingham to come from behind and win or draw||@ 4 / 1||
The Match Betting
Villa did actually beat Birmingham when they met most recently in the League Cup last year but Birmingham have come a long way since then under Gary Rowett. The Blues start the day with 23 points and they have been getting progressively better at St Andrews, where they are unbeaten in the past five matches (won four, drawn one).
It is perhaps a surprise that Birmingham are slight underdogs at 9/5 in the match betting (Paddy Power) as they face a Villa side (6/4) that has won just one away game since 8th August 2015.
There is no doubt that Villa have improved since Steve Bruce replaced Roberto Di Matteo as they are unbeaten in three matches under the former Birmingham boss (won two, drawn one) but they are hardly playing a brand of football that convinces.
Birmingham Have The Edge
Villa have struggled for goals all season as they have managed to score just four goals away from home and they may struggle to close the current six-point gap with their neighbours in the table.
They go into the game without the injured Micah Richards and Tommy Elphick, as well as the suspended Jack Grealish, and we are going to back Birmingham to win with the draw no bet (Evens with Paddy Power).
Draw No Bet Odds:
There is a mental fragility about this Villa side as they have dropped thirteen points from winning positions and we wonder how they will cope in the cauldron of St Andrews. Birmingham are 4/1 to come from behind and win or draw (Ladbrokes) in a match that could see tempers flare.
Villa have already received a league-high 40 yellow cards this term and we are going to back between 45-65 bookings points (5/2 with Sky Bet) as the overly extrovert referee Mike Dean, who has brandished 38 yellows and one red in nine outings this term, takes control of proceedings.
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